By Swing L
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Extra resources for A Praktical Guide of Swing Trading Book
Let’s get started, shall we? indd 12 8/20/07 7:19:59 PM apte r Two h C Counting On Growth Growth Can Be Measured. Count on It. TRADITIONAL INVESTMENT and Wall Street analysis consists of talking to company management, customers, and suppliers, and then building complex hypothetical models to try and guess future financial results. Analysts spend their days on the phone and attending meetings to try to uncover winning stock picks. This process is both ponderous and relatively unsuccessful. In its attempt to sell the story, all too often the Street gets caught up in the story and starts believing its projections as the gospel truth.
But, as Ecclesiastes reminds us, there is a time for everything, including a time to sell. When the fundamentals begin to break down or the stock becomes too risky based on my analysis, it is simply time to get out. But investors who have experienced a great ride on a stock are sometimes reluctant to sell. We posted some huge returns in various energyrelated stocks, but as the fundamental and quantitative grades of these stocks decayed, we systematically sold these stocks. We started moving out of oil and other energy-related stocks in late 2005 and 2006, as they became too risky.
We also have a tendency to think that we are above average, just a little smarter than everyone else. It has been well documented by several studies that over 80 percent of all students taking a class think that they will be in the top 50 percent of students. ” In spite of their claims to greatness, we know that less than half of them will outperform the market in any given year, much less over an extended period of time. We also like to have our opinions confirmed by others, especially so-called experts.
A Praktical Guide of Swing Trading Book by Swing L